Bob Baffert trained Authentic upset Tiz the Law to win the 220 Kentucky Derby. There’s no rest for either top 3-year-old as both will contend for the Preakness Stakes, the final jewel in this year’s COVID-19 affected Triple Crown. Will Tiz the Law turn the tables on his rival? Will Authentic make it two TC races in a row? What longshots have a chance to upset the two favorites? Check out top plays and Horse Racing Odds from Preakness Stakes for Saturday, October 3. You can also visit our Online Racebook to place your bets on active racetracks.
Early Preakness Stakes Horse Racing Picks & Preview
- When: Saturday, October 3
- Where: Pimlico Racecourse, Baltimore, MD
- Weather: Sunny
2020 Early Preakness Stakes Odds
Which horse, Authentic, Tiz the Law, or Art Collector deserves the most attention to win the Preakness Stakes?
More early speed is signed on for the Preakness. King Guillermo is a front-runner. Thousand Words, another Baffert trainee, is also a front-runner while Ny Traffic figures to be much closer on Preakness Day. Also, don’t think for a moment that Manny Franco aboard Tiz the Law won’t press Authentic from the beginning.
At +150, we must look past Authentic. The odds don’t justify a wager because the Preakness should be a much different race than the Derby. We should also look past Tiz the Law. Why? If Franco does go after Authentic early, that could compromise the Law’s chances.
Art Collector at +350 offers the best odds and has the best shot among the three favorites. The Bernardini sired runner is on a 5-race winning streak. He’s won on the lead, pressing from a length off, and coming from the clouds.
Jockey Brian Hernandez has a lot of options with Art Collector. If you want to back chalk, he’s the chalk horse to back.
Which horses at +2000 odds or less have the best chance of upsetting the favorites?
Thousand Words scratched in the Derby paddock. The horse has the ability to win a Triple Crown race. Bob Baffert wouldn’t enter Thousand Words into the Preakness unless he felt the horse could win.
With the right trip, Mr. Big News, the third place finisher in the Kentucky Derby, could take the blackeyed-susans. The Preakness is a shorter race than the Derby. That could help Mr. Big News. He made a menacing move around the Derby’s final turn but couldn’t sustain it. If he makes the same move around Pimlico’s tighter final turn, he might catch the front runners.
There are all sorts of reasons to like Mystic Guide. Godolphin owns, Michael Stidham trains, and Guide won the Grade 2 Jim Dandy in his last. The Ghostzapper sired runner can close from the clouds or press the pace. He has a chance on Oct. 3.
What longshots at +2500 odds or more can upset the likely Preakness field?
Happy Saver won the Federico Tesio Stakes, the prep for the Preakness. The horse also runs for trainer Todd Pletcher and is undefeated after three races. He deserves a long look at +2500 odds.
If Tap It to Win goes, he’ll be another +2500 contender to consider. Mark Casse won the 2019 Preakness with War of Will. Tap It to Win did all the running in the Belmont Stakes before fading to fifth in the stretch. Since then, he’s finished second in the 7-furlong Grade 1 H. Allen Jerkens Stakes and third in the Grade 2 Pat Day Mile.
Casse could have Tap It to Win coming up to his very best race. If Casse enters Tap It to Win, we can’t discount for the victory at massive odds.
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